Yesterday's Free Outsider Picks return profit of $388.72!
Mohawk early Pick 4 pays $2,262
Yesterday was a crucial day for the Outsider Picks (OP), for even before we hit that nice Pick 4 in Race 7, we had a revelation regarding the types of suggested tickets we offer our readers.
As my own personal success has been primarily in Pick 4 and Pick 3 wagers, multi-race bets have been my suggested exotics, in addition to the advice to bet each OP $2 Win and Place. A LOT of the Outsider Picks this week finished 2nd or 3rd, triggering large payouts for triactors and superfectas. It dawned on me that we could have all 5 OPs come in 2nd on the same night, and our suggested tickets may still come up blank, as there would be no benefit of this success on multi-race wagers.
In light of all this, from today forward we will also try to include some exactor, triactor and superfecta suggestions in addition to the usual Pick 3 and Pick 4 tips.
And now, time for the good news!!! Last night was our best since launching Pucks N Ponies about 10 days ago. Here are our 5 Outsiders Picks and 2 suggested tickets, together with results:
Outsiders and tickets suggested yesterday 09SEP11
Woodbine Racetrack Thoroughbreds
Race 3 - #1 Sky High lady, 8-1
Race 5 - #1 El Nadal, 12-1
Race 8 - #8, Athena Rose, 8-1
Race 9 - #2, Crown of Glory, 10-1
Suggested ticket: Woodbine Race 6 Pick 4
Race 6 – 1, 7 (5)
Race 7 – 6, 1/1A, 2/2B (7)
Race 8 – 1/1A, 2/2B, 8, 5 (9)
Race 9 – 14, 4, 15, 5, 2, 9 (12)
2 horses x 3 x 4 x 6 = 144 bets x .20 per = $28.80 for ticket.
Mohawk Racetrack harness racing
Race 4 - #8, Rich Society Girl, 10-1
Suggested ticket: Mohawk Race 4 Pick 4:
Race 4 - 1, 8, 5, 7 (2)
Race 5 - 6, 7, 5, 8 (9)
Race 6 - 4, 1, 5 (6)
Race 7 - 5, 3, 7 (1)
4 horses x 4 x 3 x 3 = 144 best x .20 per = $28.80 for ticket.
Flat bets $2 Win/Place on each of 5 Outsider Picks = $20
Exotic wagers 2 x 28.80 as above = $57.60
Total bets for the day: $77.60
Here are the above wagers that hit the board:
Woodbine
1 Sky High Lady Placed $9.80 $6.10
Our share: 9.80
1 El Nadal Show $18.80
Our share: 0.00 (we bet WP)
8 Athena Rose Show $3.90
Our share: 0.00 (we bet WP)
2 - Crown of Glory, Scratched
Our share: Refund of $4
Mohawk
Suggested ticket: Mohawk Race 4 Pick 4:
Race 4 - 1, 8, 5, 7 (2) Winner = 7
Race 5 - 6, 7, 5, 8 (9) Winner = 6
Race 6 - 4, 1, 5 (6) Winner = 1
Race 7 - 5, 3, 7 (1) Winner = 7
4 horses x 4 x 3 x 3 = 144 best x .20 per = $28.80 for ticket.
Payout was $2,262.60, and for our 20% of that, we received $452.52; hope you were playing along!!!!
Total return from $20 of flat bets = $13.80
Total return from $57.60 Pick 4 bets = $452.52
Total return from $77.60 wagered on the day = $466.32
Profit for 09SEP11 = $388.72
Alrighty, if you have read this far, then you deserve a peek at today's Outsider Picks, but first let me add a word of caution. When we began publishing these free picks for horse race wagering, I was expecting some serious droughts before hitting a profitable spell. Even though this past week has been mildly rewarding, anybody playing along should be aware that there may be stretches of ten days or more when no Outsider Picks hit the board, and no suggested tickets cash. The goal of this blog is to help people cash bigger tickets at the racetrack, and to do it successfully and regularly you really do have to stick with a system that wins over the longer term.
The best advice I can give handicappers is to take what you learn from this blog and apply it to your local racetrack, where you know the talent and the horses. Most bettors will not include 8-1, 10-1 and 12-1 horses on their Pick 3 and Pick 4 tickets, so this gives you a big advantage. Go through your local card with the goal of identifying the 2 or 3 best-positioned Outsiders (horses with M/L of 8/1 to 12/1), and include these in boxes and multi-race wagers. You'll get skunked some days, pay off all your bills on others.
Outsider Picks for September 10th, 2011
Mohawk Racetrack
Race 4 - #4 Hyperion Hanover, 8-1
Race 7 - #5, Easy Livin Smiley, 12-1
Race 10 - #2 Rockabillie, 8-1
Each can bet bet $2 WP, total $12
Suggest Mohawk Racetrack exotic wagers:
Race 6 SF Key 8 with 6, 5, 4, 7 (10) .20 per bet = $4.80
Race 7 TRI 5, 6 / 5, 6 / 1, 3, 2, 7 (8) $1 per bet = $8 CXL as 6 Scratched
UPDATED, as #6 Scratched, NOW: TRI K 5 w 1, 3, 2 (7) = $6 Bet
Race 8 SF Box 5423 .20 per bet = $4.80
Mohawk Race 9 Pick 4 suggestion:
Race 9 - 5, 1, 4 (3)
Race 10 - 6, 4, 5, 2 (3)
Race 11 - 2, 4, 3, 5 (1)
Race 12 - 1, 3 (9)
3 horses x 4 x 4 x 2 = 96 bets x .20 per = $19.20 ticket
Mohawk suggested flat bets for 10sep = $12
Mohawk suggested exotics: 4.80 + $6 + $4.80 + $19.20 = $34.80
Total suggested bets for September 10th, Mohawk Racetrack = $46.80
Tonight's Mohawk card features the Simcoe Stakes plus eliminations for the Canadian Trotting Classic and the Champlain Stakes, so if you can make it out to Mohawk or catch some races on TV or online, you will see some truly beautiful, majestic animals performing.
Play within your means, bet smart, and have some fun!!!
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