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CAUTION: Outsiders Picks System is for longer term horseplayers

CAUTION: Outsiders Picks System is for longer term horseplayers

As the goal of this blog is to help people learn to cash large exotic wagers at the racetrack, our methodologies require consistent swinging for the fence, which means our system is not suitable for short-term gambling money. Short-term players should continue with things like show bets and strong favourites, however for those that have a roll that can be spread over a minimum of fifteen to twenty days, utilizing some of our Outsiders Picks may be helpful to your returns.

Focusing on Outsiders means that most days our suggestions will not turn a profit, in fact most weeks will also show a negative return, it's just the nature of the beast when you're hunting big game in the world of ponies. Whether you are applying what you learn here and seeking M/L 7/1 to 12/1 opportunities at your local track, or playing along with us, the goal is to cash at least a couple of times per week, make a small profit (eg. $100+) once every week or two, hit a decent sized payout (eg $350++) every month or two, and about one to two times per year, hit a jackpot type (eg $3,000+) wager.

Somebeachsomewhere

Friday, September 16, 2011

Golden Gate: Friday's Fade the Fave Pick4

Every Friday we are going to try and find a vulnerable heavy fave and suggest a Pick 4 that includes that horse, but also has many more combinations that do not include the "faded" fave. If you want to create a ticket like this at your local track, see which race has the fave with the lowest Morning Line odds, and select five horses in that race, including the fave. then take 2 horses in each of the other legs for 40 bets in total (5 x 2 x 2 x 2).





Golden Gate 16SEP "Fade the Fave" Pick 4 suggestion

The favourite we are fading is #3 in the 5th race, Storm In Blairsden, primarily because we do not like that 1.16 6-furlong workout, seems a bit sluggish.

The TICKET:

Race 5 - 3, 7, 2, 8, 5 (6)*

Race 6 - 7, 10 (6)

Race 7 - 6, 3 (8)

Race 8 - 2, 3 (1)

*Bracketed horses are to be used as replacements for early scratches (late scratches get you the favorite in that leg of the ticket).

5 horses x 2 x 2 x 2 = 40 bets x $1 per = $40 ticket

Good luck everyone, and have an inspiring, relaxing and fun-filled weekend!

Thursday, September 15, 2011

3 BIG changes to Outsider Picks System

Last night we went through our picks and results for September so far and have decided on implementing three changes to our system for generating Outsider Picks and suggested exotic wagers, as follows:

A) We are moving Morning Line 7-1 shots to Outsiders from Contenders. This will result not only in more wins for our outsider Picks, but also more opportunities to key the Outsider. Not too many 10-1 or 12-1 shots are worthy of being your key, however adding 7-1 horses should just about double the "key horse" opportunities. Our overall average payout will drop because of this change, however we will hit the board more often and cash more frequently, so from a cash flow standpoint, the change will help us keep money in the till for those home run swings.

B) We are going to include more USA tracks, and have started today by adding Belmont Park into the Free Selections.

C) In recent weeks we have focused primarily on Pick 4 suggestions, with some Pick 3 and superfect suggestions. Going forward, we intend to emphasize Pick 3 and Triactor wagers at least as much as Pick 4 and Superfecta. Again, this will lower average payout but will allow ourselves and our readers to cash more often.




Let us hope these changes help us to finish September strong, and have a rockin', ultra-profitable October!

15SEP11: FREE PICKS for Woodbine and Belmont

Here are today's Outsider Picks:




Woodbine Racetrack

race 5 - #1 do the math 10-1

race 8 - #3 ring of greatness 10-1





Belmont Park

race 1 - #7 readytodefer 8-1

race 3 - #2 litigation risk, 8-1

race 8 - #2 kippers n eggs, 8-1

race 9 - #8 rennina, 8-1


Each of the Outsider Picks can be bet $2 Win and $2 Place.


Suggested exotic wagers:


Woodbine Race 4 Pick 3

Race 4 - 4, 6, 1 (3)

Race 5 - 7, 9, 2, 1 (3)

Race 6 - 7 (4)

3 horses x 4 x 1 = 12 best x $1 per bet = $12 ticket


Belmont Race 1 Pick 3

Race 1 - 4, 2, 7 (3)

Race 2 - 1, 2, 5 (4)

Race 3 - 1, 2 (4)

3 horses x 3 x 2 = 18 bets x $1 per = $18 ticket


Total flat bets = 6 OP horses x $4 ($2 WP) per = $24

Total exotic wagers = $12 P3 and $18 P3 = $30

Total bets for 15sep = $54


Best of racing luck to all!

Tuesday, September 13, 2011

"Mark In Da Park" Owuya in net for baby Leafs tonight



Swedish Idol rapper Mark In Da Park starts for Maple Leafs rookie team



After a shutout performance in 30 minutes of action on Saturday night, the Toronto Maple Leafs rookie team will give Owuya the reins tonight and plan on letting him start and finish the game. As he is fifth on the depth chart, strong play from Mark will likely result in either the Leafs or the Marlies carrying three goalies to begin the season.

If Jonas Gustavsson does well in pre-season games then it will likely be the Marlies with 3 netminders, whereas if he falters or suffers from any medical issues, then Scrivens or Rynnas will likely stay with the big club, allowing Owuya the opportunity to get some starts in the AHL.




Good luck tonight Mark!

13SEP11: Mohawk Outsider Picks and Pick 4 selections

Here are our Outsider Picks for Mohawk Racetrack, September 13th, 2011:

Race 1 - #4 Justasmalltowngirl, 10-1


Race 7 - #9 Counsellor Cam, 8-1


Race 10 - #5 Dedalos, 12-1


Race 11 - #4 Over and Out, 12-1

OPs can be bet $2 Win and $2 Place, plus include in your exotic wagers.



Here are our suggested Pick 4 wagers for tonight's Mohawk Racetrack harness racing card:


Mohawk Race 4 Pick 4 13SEP11

Race 4 - 4, 6, 5 (8)

Race 5 - 6, 5, 1, 8 (3)

Race 6 - 2, 7, 6 (9)

Race 7 - 9, 3, 10 (2)

3 horses x 4 x 3 x 3 = 108 best x .20 per = $21.60 ticket




Mohawk Race 8 Pick 4 13SEP11


Race 8 - 7, 6, 1, 8, 5 (2)

Race 9 - 5 (4)

Race 10 - 3, 2, 6, 5 (8)

Race 11 - 5, 6, 7, 3, 4 (10)


5 horses x 1 x 4 x 5 = 100 bets x .20 per bet = $20 ticket


Total flat bets for today = $16 (4 horses x $2 WP each)

Total exotic wagers for today = $41.60

Total bets for the day = $57.60


Best of luck to everyone, play some Outsiders and have some fun!!!

FREE PICKS showing profit for September

Though we hit with Outsider Picks Still Chugging yesterday afternoon at The Meadows and Buckshot Austin last night at Mohawk, we missed the Superfecta and Pick 4 wagers because I adjusted my computer program, whereas if I had just left it as is we would have hit them both!!!

Here are our totals wagered and won so far in September, which as this is a new blog, also represent totals since inception. We'll try and update again after month-end, see if we're still in the black.



Date Amount Invested Return Net

01sep / 43.2 / 0 / -43.2

02sep / 24 / 0 / -24

04sep / 48 / 6.4 / -41.6

05sep / 87 / 14.9 / -82.1

06sep / 58 / 41.9 / -16.1

07sep / 55 / 18 / -37

08sep / 60 / 21.3 / -39.7

09sep / 77.6 / 462.32 / $384.72

10sep / 46.8 / 66.55 / $19.75

12sep / 104 / 71.3 / -32.7


TOTAL $603.6 / $670.35 +66.75

We'll post some picks for this evening a in a little while!

Monday, September 12, 2011

Mohawk FREE PICKS for Monday, September 12, 2011


Here are our Mohawk Outsider Picks for tonight's card. Each can be bet $2 Win and $2 Place, plus include in your exotic wagers.

Race 3 - #6 Creekside Magic, 12-1


Race 5 - #3 Buckshot Austin, 8-1


Race 6 - #6 Unforgettable Fire, 12-1


Race 10 - #7 Laurent, 8-1


Race 11 - #8 B M O C, 8-1



Suggested exotic tickets for Mohawk Racetrack 12SEP11:


Race 4 Pick 4 Mohawk

Race 4 - 7, 6, 9, 3 (1)

Race 5 - 9, 4, 6, 2, 3 (7)

Race 6 - 7, 6, 2 (5)

Race 7 - 2 (1)

4 horses x 5 x 3 x 1 = 12 best x $1 per = $12 ticket.



Mohawk Race 5 Superfecta

Box 9, 3, 4, 6, 7 (2)

120 bets x .20 per bet = $24 ticket



Total flat bets = $20
Total exotics = $36

Total Mohawk bets for the day = $56



Bracketed horses are only to be used as replacements for early scratches. Late scratches will earn you the post-time favourite for that leg of the wager.

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